Matthew Dellavedova vs Christoph Negritu Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

What do the numbers reveal about the upcoming showdown between Negritu and Dellavedova? When analyzing their second serve prowess over the last six months, Negritu edges out Dellavedova by winning 45.33% of points, compared to Dellavedova's 44.41%. This difference, though slight, might tilt the scales in Negritu's favor, especially given the significance of second serve efficiency in match predictions.

Regarding return games, Negritu emerges as the stronger contender in returning opponents' second serves, claiming 48.14% of points, whereas Dellavedova trails at 43.31%. However, when it comes to first serve returns, Dellavedova outpaces Negritu, stealing 27.81% of points compared to Negritu's 26.33%. Can Dellavedova capitalize on these marginal gains to counter Negritu’s returns?

Performance under pressure can be crucial, and Negritu is proven resilient, saving 60.49% of breakpoints compared to Dellavedova's 42.59%. This capability to withstand breakpoints is essential for live match predictions and suggests that Negritu can maintain composure during critical moments.

From an overall performance perspective, Negritu has been victorious in 65.33% of the matches in the last year, while Dellavedova has won 60%. The head-to-head records offer additional insights; Negritu claimed victory the only time they met, at the Netherlands F5 event back in 2017, securing a straight-sets win.

Delving into preferred playing surfaces, Negritu thrives on Hard courts, with a 61% win rate, contrasting with Dellavedova's 57%. Dellavedova struggles significantly on Indoor Hard surfaces, showcasing only an 18% success rate. Does surface preference suggest Negritu’s greater adaptability in various conditions?

Both players have demonstrated prowess at their respective tournament levels. Negritu has been dominant in Challenger/ITF events, while Dellavedova has excelled in Futures/Satellite tournaments. This variance in tournament levels must be considered, as it influences the comparative ranking and quality of opponents each player has faced, with Negritu's adversaries having a higher average rank than Dellavedova's.

Noteworthy are their deciding set performances—where Dellavedova boasts a slight edge, winning 79% of deciding sets compared to Negritu's 69%. Negritu, however, has historically handled extreme pressure better, winning their sole tiebreak encounter. In breakpoint conversion, Dellavedova slightly holds the upper hand, converting 37.09% of opportunities compared to Negritu’s 32.56%.

Considering all the stats and past encounters, Negritu appears to have a nuanced advantage, marked by better overall match performance, serve stats, and resilience under pressure. While the deciding set capabilities and slight return game edge favor Dellavedova, the scales are tipped toward Negritu being the probable winner in this anticipated face-off.